Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama leads his Republican rival, John McCain, by 11 points and in the Senate race, Democratic Rep. Tom Udall leads Republican Rep. Steve Pearce by 20 points, according to a poll released today by Public Policy Polling.
Aside from the surprising Democratic gains this poll seems to indicate, two interesting tidbits stick out: Obama leads 59 to 35 percent among Hispanics, but he trails McCain by two points among white respondents.
Also, while 38 percent of respondents said the choice of Sarah Palin as McCain’s running mate made them more likely to vote for him, 46 percent said Sarah Palin’s place on the ticket make them less like to vote for McCain. Obama’s choice of Joe Biden didn’t seem to have any impact at all on Obama’s prospects in New Mexico.
“New Mexico is probably the state Bush took in 2004 that Barack Obama will have the easiest time winning this time around,” said Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling, in a press release. “Part of this large lead may be a product of last week’s economic crisis but even if things return to normal this is a place where the Democrats are going to have a significant advantage.”
New Mexico the easiest pickup for Obama in 2008? That’s the first we’ve heard of it.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 1,037 likely voters (defined as having voted in any election in the last four years) statewide, from Sept. 17 to 19. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.0 percent. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
This post has been corrected. An earlier version contained a typo in the poll numbers.