We are beginning to see the fallout of yesterday’s health care compromise by the Senate Democrats. Some progressive Democrats are against the compromise, which would eliminate a public option but lower the age of eligibility for Medicare, while others are in support. Republicans are not fans. But the compromise was never about getting Republican votes; it was about getting the votes of conservative Democrats (like Ben Nelson, D-Neb.) while keeping the support of the more progressive Democrats.
U.S. Rep. Brian Baird, D-Wash., is calling it quits. Baird is in a very vulnerable seat, one which “is a very fertile open seat for GOPers to attack” according to Hotline.
Public Policy Polling says that there aren’t really any vulnerable Republican Senators this year.
PPP also notes that it will be be polling in South Dakota this week, bypassing the two New Mexico districts which were up for consideration.
In Pennsylvania, a Rassmussen Reports poll shows that Sen. Arlen Specter leads U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak in the Democratic primary. Rasmussen promises general election matchup numbers from the two Democrats against Republican Pat Toomey.
Specter switched from the Republican Party to the Democratic Party in the face of a probable loss in the Republican primary against Toomey.
Though this is an off-election year for federal races, there will be over $1 billion in political ads this year, according to Evan Tracey of TNS Media Intelligence.
Next year, there could be even more.