A poll commissioned by the liberal advocacy organizations the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democracy for America shows that if health care reform passes, Rep. Martin Heinrich and Rep. Harry Teague are more likely to be re-elected in 2010. The poll, conducted by Research 2000, showed that most Democrats polled said they would be less likely to vote in 2010 if Congress does not pass a health care bill.
“This polling is conclusive proof that the key to Democratic victory in 2010 is bold populism,” Adam Green, cofounder of the Progressive Change Campaign Colaition said. “On health care, that means supporting a hugely popular public option that the big insurance companies fear.”
On the question, “Would you be more likely to vote for the re-election of your local Democratic member of Congress if they worked to kill the current health care reform effort in Congress or if they worked to add a public health insurance option that competes head-to-head with private insurance?” a plurality of those polled in both districts said that they would be more likely to vote for both Heinrich and Teague if they worked towards a public option. More said that they were not sure than said they would prefer for Heinrich or Teague to work towards killing the bill.
A majority of voters said that they were not sure if they wanted the Senate version of the bill or one with a public option, though many more chose the public option than the Senate version of the bill; the House passing the Senate version was preferred by just single digits in both districts.
When asked if they would support “the choice of a government administered health insurance plan — something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get — that would compete with private health insurance plans,” large majorities in both districts, 71 percent in Teague’s district and 67 percent in Heinrich’s, said they would support such legislation, a much more progressive idea than either the House or the Senate bill.
For all of the questions and results on the poll go here.
The poll was of 200 likely voters in each district, and has a relatively high margin-of-error of plus or minus 6.9 percent.