A poll commissioned by the Steve Pearce campaign shows that the Republican challenger leads incumbent Democratic Congressman Harry Teague by four points. The survey of 401 likely voters shows Pearce with a 48 percent to 44 percent lead over Teague; Teague is considered one of the most vulnerable Democratic incumbents in the nation.
National Journal’s Hotline On Call says that Teague is “on the ropes” because of the results of the Tarrance Group (R) poll, which ran from February 16 to 18 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.
“These results prove what I have been hearing from New Mexicans as I travel the 2nd Congressional District,” Pearce said in a statement. “New Mexicans believe the Teague and the Pelosi led Congress are on the wrong track and their big government spending is a problem, not the solution.”
The poll shows that voters in the district have a better view of Teague than a generic Republican. Teague outperforms the generic ballot which shows a Republican leading a Democrat 47 percent to 37 percent in the conservative-leaning district.
The poll also says that 47 percent of those polled say that “it is time to give a new person a chance as Congressman, whle only 37 percent of voters say that Teauge has done a good enough job to deserve re-election” according to the polling memo.
So far, there has been no independent polling of the district.
Hotline On Call notes that the district, which covers the southern part of New Mexico, generally votes for Republicans in presidential races despite a Democratic edge in party registration. In 2008, John McCain won the district 50 percent to Barack Obama’s 49 percent; however, Teague defeated his Republican opponent, Ed Tinsley, 56 percent to 44 percent in that same election.
Pearce held this seat for three cycles, but gave up the seat to run for Senate in 2008, when he was defeated by Tom Udall in the general election.