The race between Republican Susana Martinez and Democrat Diane Denish is “a statistical dead heat,” according to Republican polling firm The Magellan Strategies. Although the poll showed that 44 percent of likely voters back Denish and 43 percent back Martinez — that spread is well within the poll’s margin of error.
Other races aren’t so tight: 45 said that they would vote for the Democratic candidate in congressional races, versus 38 percent for the Republican candidate.
The poll shows that in the 1st Congressional District, where Democrat Martin Heinrich is running against Republican Jon Barela, a generic Democrat would defeat a generic Republican 50 percent to 37 percent.
A Democrat has a 42 percent to 36 percent advantage in the 2nd congressional district, where Republican Steve Pearce is trying to take his old House seat back from Rep. Harry Teague.
Up north, the Democrat has only a 43 percent to 42 percent advantage in the 3rd congressional district, where Rep. Ben Ray Lujan is running against GOP newcomer Tom Mullins.
Of course, these statistical samples are likely very small and so would have very high margins of error. So take all of these results with a grain of salt.
Both Martinez and Denish have near universal name recognition, but Martinez has better favorables: She’s got a 45 percent favorable rating to 34 percent unfavorable. Denish has a 41 percent favorable rating to 40 percent unfavorable.
President Barack Obama has a 45 percent approval rating to a 48 percent disapproval rating, according to the poll. The poll shows on the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico that 38 percent approve of the Obama Administration’s handling of the oil spill and 51 percent disapprove. The poll does not ask about BP’s approval on the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico as many other polls do.
The automated poll of 542 likely voters was conducted June 21, from 5:30 p.m. to 8 p.m. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percent.