Republican gubernatorial candidate Susana Martinez leads Democratic candidate Diane Denish 47 percent to 41 percent according to the latest poll by Research and Polling, Inc. for the Albuquerque Journal. When “leaners” are included, Martinez leads 49 percent to 42 percent.
The previous Albuquerque Journal poll showed Martinez leading 45 percent to 39 percent.
The results point to an enthusiasm gap, according to the Journal.
Midterm elections, such as this year’s, historically have lower turnouts than presidential elections, Sanderoff said, and that means Denish could lose some support from Democratic voters, who outnumber Republicans and independents in New Mexico, if they don’t turn out.” If turnout is low in this election, then Martinez’s lead will widen,” he said. “For Denish to narrow this gap, her campaign must increase the turnout of at-risk Democratic voters significantly.”
And Martinez has solidified her base, with 83 percent of Republicans saying that they will vote for Martinez. Meanwhile, just 68 percent of Democrats say that they will vote for Denish and 19 percent will vote for Martinez. That still leaves 13 percent of Democrats undecided.